Kansas Department of Administration, Division of Facilities Management
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Facilities Planning


COST PROJECTIONS BEGINNING FY 2010

The Past Year 2008

2008 was a mixed year for material costs.  We saw some prices decline and some rise. 

January 2008 to January 2009 Price changes

Steel     - 2.2%
Lumber - 7.3%
Concrete +5%
Gypsum Products + 8.7%
Asphalt Products +23.1%
Diesel Fuel +41%

2008 also saw the number of construction related jobs fall by 3% (-8.5% nationally) while wages rose. Non-residential construction starts also fell in 2008. That trend is expected continue throughout at least the first half 2009.  The economic stimulus plan is expected to start impacting the industry gradually beginning in the second quarter of 2009.


The Forecast for 2009

AGC of America has reported ‘January’s pattern was similar to what occurred during 2008—more weakness for housing, combined with a mounting loss of momentum for commercial building. At the same time, public works has been able to hold up relatively well, even with the erosion in state and local finances.’ stated Robert A. Murray, vice president of economic affairs for [MHC].

Overall material costs will be lower at the end of 2009 with an anticipated drop of -4% to 0%, labor costs will rise by 3% to 4.5%.

Cost projections for the coming year are as follows:

Yearly Cost Projections
From FY09
Monthly Cost Projections
from FY 2009
FY 2010 3.0 % 0.0025 / month
FY 2011 6.0 % 0.0050 / month
FY 2012 7.5 % 0.0063 / month
FY 2013 9 % 0.0075 / month
FY 2014 11 % 0.0092 / month

These projections were compiled from multiple sources including AGC of America, US Bureau of Labor Statistics and Reed Construction Data.

Historical Cost Indices

Year (July unless noted)

Historical Cost Index

Jan 1, 1993 = 100

Year (July unless noted)

Historical Cost Index

Jan 1, 1993 = 100

Year (July unless noted)

Historical Cost Index

Jan 1, 1993 = 100

Jan 2009 185.0 2002 128.7 1995 107.6
2008 180.4 2001 125.1 1994 104.4
2007 169.4 2000 120.9 1993 101.7
2006 162.0 1999 117.6 1992 99.4
2005 151.6 1998 115.1 1991 96.8
2004 143.7 1997 112.8 1990 94.3
2003 132.0 1996 110.2 1989 92.1
Obtained from RS Means