Kansas Department of Administration, Division of Facilities Management
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Design & Construction


COST PROJECTIONS BEGINNING FY 2012

The Past Year 2010

Construction unemployment peaked around 29% and is now falling in many states.  We have seen small increases in non-residential construction starts, beginning in mid-2010, but those increases were probably due in part to Federal stimulus funds.   .

January 2010 to January 2011 price changes:

Steel     +7.7%
Copper +35%
On-highway Diesel Fuel +18%
Lumber and Plywood +5.7%
Cement +1.3%
Gypsum Products +3.4
Asphalt Paving Products +4.6%
Diesel Fuel +12.5%

The Forecast for 2011

Architectural firms nationwide are showing a slight increase in billings which shows promise for the economic recovery.

AGC Data Digest reports February 15, 2011.  The state-funded construction outlook remains grim. “To date, some 44 states and [D.C.] are projecting budget shortfalls for fiscal year 2012, which begins July 1, 2011 in most states,” the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities reported on Wednesday. “These come on top of the large shortfalls that states closed in fiscal years 2009 through 2011.

Also reported in the January 19, 2011 Data Digest “…Meanwhile, lack of work and strong competition have forced contractors to hold the line on bid prices.”

With prices for metals and diesel fuel on the rise, cost projections for the coming year are as follows:

Yearly Cost Projections
From FY11
Monthly Cost Projections
from FY 2010
 
FY 2012 2.0 % .00167 / month
FY 2013 4.0 % 0.00333 / month
FY 2014 7.0 % 0.00583/ month
FY 2015 10.0% 0.0083 / month
FY 2016 12.0 % 0.0100 / month

These projections were compiled from multiple sources including AGC of America, US Bureau of Labor Statistics and Reed Construction Data.

Historical Cost Indexes

Year (July unless noted) Historical Cost Index
Jan 1, 1993 = 100
Year (July unless noted) Historical Cost Index
Jan 1, 1993 = 100
Year (July unless noted) Historical Cost Index
Jan 1, 1993 = 100
Jan 2011 185.0 2004 143.7 1997 112.8
2010 182.8 2003 132.0 1996 110.2
2009 180.1 2002 128.7 1995 107.6
2008 180.4 2001 125.1 1994 104.4
2007 169.4 2000 120.9 1993 101.7
2006 162.0 1999 117.6 1992 99.4
2005 151.6 1998 115.1 1991 96.8

Obtained from RS Mean